After the Food and Drug Association in the USA published guidelines on the enhanced use of process analytical technology (PAT) and continuous manufacturing, many studies regarding PAT and continuous manufacturing have been published. This paper describes a case study involving granulation and coating steps with ethenzamide to investigate interference for PAT model construction and model management. We investigated what factors should be considered and addressed when PAT is implemented for continuous manufacturing and how predictive models should be constructed. The product qualities that were monitored were moisture content and particle size in the granulation step and tablet weight and moisture content in the coating step. We have constructed models for the granulation step and validated the predictive capability of the models against an external dataset. A partial least squares (PLS) model with manual wavelength selection had the best predictive accuracy for loss on drying against the external validation set. We found that the prediction of loss on drying was accurate, but the prediction of particle size was not sufficiently accurate. In the coating step, because of the small amount of data, we performed three-fold cross-validation and y-scrambling 10 times, to select the optimal hyper-parameters and to check if the models were fitted to chance correlations. We confirmed that the coating agent weights, tablet weights, and water content could be accurately predicted based on the mean of the R2 score for cross-validation. Addition of other variables, as well as the absorbance, slightly improved the predictive accuracy. © 2021, American Association of Pharmaceutical Scientists.

• The University of Tokyo

• PAT
• Oral solid dose

1. oral solid dose
2. pat
3. Preprocessing
4. Process analytical technology
5. Research Article
6. Validation methods